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Analysing 2026 Market Data for Future Growth

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Company news and monetary news, analysis, opinion and statistics covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the region projected to outperform its 2025 performance in spite of soft oil profits and ongoing worldwide uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research rundown, GCC GDP growth is anticipated to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a resilient nonenergy sector, strong customer dynamics, and slowly improving oil output.

But the newest projections recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic demand and a broadly stable global backdrop. The report highlights GCC consumers as a major motorist of the region's financial performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable earnings are expected to sustain a rise in customer spending throughout the Gulf.

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Credit development is also anticipated to remain raised as access to monetary services broadens. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow expected US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are likely to decrease, giving homes and businesses even more incentive to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's strength, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a blended photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, particularly for economies more depending on oil extraction. Oxford Economics predicts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as stocks tighten and international demand enhances. Qatar, meanwhile, sticks out as a regional outperformer, with significant expansions in gas production and exports expected to lift its overall economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget anticipates a 6 per cent cut in capital expense as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by 2 portion points. The report keeps in mind that these cuts might not materialise totally if countercyclical costs measures are triggered to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their development programs.

Regardless of shortterm risks tied to oil prices and worldwide need, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is specified by strength in principles: resistant consumers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil characteristics, and strategic fiscal planning. With these elements aligning, the region is getting ready for among its most balanced durations of growth in the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are anticipated to remain resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly constant worldwide economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic product of the GCC area is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

United States trade policy under President Donald Trump has actually had no notable influence on regional growth, and non-energy sectors have actually sustained their robust momentum," said Oxford Economics. It included: "Meanwhile, oil production has actually gradually increased, providing an increase to the region's economies. We anticipate GCC development will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that financial growth in the region is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's continued development toward diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout performers in 2026 and are expected to outperform their global peers.

In December, the IMF even more said that heading inflation is expected to stay listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is anticipated to stay raised in the GCC region during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and loaning is forecasted to be supported by further cuts in rates of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC central banks are anticipated to follow the United States Federal Reserve by reducing monetary policy further, which in turn will reduce financial obligation maintenance expenses and increase disposable income and demand," said the report.

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