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To reverse a decade of compromising overall aspect productivity, local labour market policy is moving from easy job production to handling active workforce shifts. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more typical as firms incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are magnifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds towards higher-impact investments. While loaning via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil revenue frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the concern is enhancing financial resilience through more secure trade and investment relationships, reliable AI implementation, handled labor force shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic demand and renewed investment momentum, according to the newest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most worldwide regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and increasing investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil incomes will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of alleviated foreign ownership rules that aim to promote further investment. The financial deficit is predicted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain crucial development drivers, supported by population development and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get again in the second half of 2026, matching continuous financial investment in facilities, innovation and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has actually come in building diverse, durable and internationally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting speed, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government costs and sustained diversification efforts.
What distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not merely the velocity of technological change, though that acceleration is real, but rather a fundamental shift in how business develop of their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most significant strategic recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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