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Industrial Excellence: a Key Pillar for 2026 Success

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Service news and financial news, analysis, opinion and stats covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the area forecasted to surpass its 2025 performance in spite of soft oil earnings and continuous international uncertainties. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP development is anticipated to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a resistant nonenergy sector, strong consumer dynamics, and gradually improving oil output.

The latest projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic demand and a broadly constant global background. The report highlights GCC customers as a significant motorist of the region's financial performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable earnings are expected to sustain a surge in customer spending across the Gulf.

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Credit development is also anticipated to remain elevated as access to monetary services expands. With GCC central banks anticipated to follow expected United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining costs are likely to decrease, offering households and services further motivation to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a mixed photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, particularly for economies more dependent on oil extraction. Nevertheless, Oxford Economics projects a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten and worldwide demand enhances. Qatar, on the other hand, stands out as a local outperformer, with considerable expansions in gas production and exports expected to lift its general financial efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan anticipates a 6 percent cut in capital investment as the kingdom intends to narrow its financial deficit by two percentage points. The report notes that these cuts may not materialise completely if countercyclical costs measures are triggered to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their development programs.

In spite of shortterm risks connected to oil rates and global demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in basics: resilient customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil dynamics, and strategic financial planning. With these aspects aligning, the area is getting ready for one of its most well balanced durations of expansion over the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council local economies are expected to stay resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly stable international economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic product of the GCC area is expected to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

We anticipate GCC growth will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that financial development in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities represented 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's continued progress toward diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their international peers. Oxford Economics said that low inflation has helped safeguard growth in genuine disposable earnings, which has actually likewise been supported by strong demand and extremely low joblessness rates."We do not imagine any let-up, as federal governments continue to promote greater foreign direct investment in their push to diversify their economies far from oil and gas," the report added.

In December, the IMF even more said that heading inflation is anticipated to stay listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is expected to stay elevated in the GCC area throughout 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and loaning is projected to be supported by more cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC central banks are anticipated to follow the United States Federal Reserve by relieving monetary policy further, which in turn will reduce financial obligation maintenance costs and enhance non reusable income and demand," said the report.

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